Monthly Archives: June 2008

Conditions Favor Renaissance in U.S. Manufacturing

Is the Playing Field of Global Trade Beginning to Level Out?

U.S. manufacturers may be finally in a position to compete with their peers overseas as the economics of global trade begin to shift back in favor of American producers. Indeed, the conditions do seem to be looking good; the dollar is at an all-time low against major currencies (including the yuan) making exports cheaper abroad; wages in low-cost destinations like China and India are climbing 15% annually; and oil prices are sending shipping costs through the roof, making the economics of the global supply chain business model far less attractive.

Will American factories and supplier networks be able to take advantage of this situation or has the map of global commerce been permanently drawn in favor of countries like China and India? To read more see: “Can the U.S. Bring Jobs Back from China?” in the June 30th issue of BusinessWeek .

Are Emerging Markets Decoupling from the U.S.?

This is a big question now among economists, academics and financial analysts. What was once a prevailing view that as the U.S. financial system goes so goes Europe and other foreign markets, a growing body of evidence is now pointing that not all corners of the global economy may be as dependent on the U.S. economic coattails as before. The emergence of the Dragon (China) and the Elephant (India) as economic powerhouses, in particular, is calling into question the theory of "coupling" among foreign markets. According to Morgan Stanley Research, the equity markets of India and China are the least sensitive to the prices of U.S. equities. The same holds for broader economic sensitivity as well. Conversely, Canada and Latin America are the strongest linked to the U.S. on both measures, as expected.

The recent performance of global equities demonstrates that stock market performance and broader economic performance are not always tightly linked. Despite the recent toils of prices on many exchanges around the world, several economies continue to show resiliency and strong growth. Right now, the U.S. is suffering from both a decline in domestic equities and growing concerns over a recession driven mainly by the credit crisis. There are even concerns that rising food and fuel costs could be putting inflationary pressures on the economy which typically (in theory) does not coincide with economic downturns. Outside the U.S., particularly in Asia and the Middle East, certain economies are growing quite rapidly.The view of some on Wall Street is that the rest of the world, particularly the fast growing emerging market economies, will slow a bit but should be fairly well inoculated from the recession cold that has hit the U.S. As such, many institutional investors are more weighted right now in foreign and emerging market equities (especially the BRIC economies) over those in more developed markets.

Steel Company's Pollution Causing Health Problems In South Africa

Business and Human Rights Resource Centre reports that residents in Vaal, South Africa are claiming that the Netherlands-based steel production company, ArcelorMittal, is polluting local air and groundwater and causing serious respiratory illnesses. Read more »

Steel Company’s Pollution Causing Health Problems In South Africa

Business and Human Rights Resource Centre reports that residents in Vaal, South Africa are claiming that the Netherlands-based steel production company, ArcelorMittal, is polluting local air and groundwater and causing serious respiratory illnesses. Read more »

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