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Bankers on Capitol HillAs the financial stimulus plan plays out in Washington, we hear voices in Congress rage about the financial services industry lobbying to influence the bailout using taxpayer dollars. While I find this outrage to be rather duplicitous, I thought it would be informative to take a look at the numbers. They are staggering.

Financial sector lobbying in Washington has achieved impressive results. Though the return on the political investment made by the companies and their surrogates are dramatic, the risks associated with this political largesse are only now becoming apparent.

The Investment in Political Activity

For 2008, the last full year of disclosure, lobbying expenditures by banks, insurance companies and the real estate sector were phenomenal. The Securities and Investment sector spent more than $92 million on lobbying. Commercial banks spent more than $55 million and the insurance industry spent a whopping $152 million on lobbying that year. If that weren’t enough, their political giving went through the roof.

In 2008, the three industries combined made more than $296 million in contributions to members of the House and Senate and affiliated campaigns. The vast majority of this money, approximately $244 million was given to incumbents in both parties.

As the Center for Responsive Politics notes in a report on their OpenSecrets.org site, “the financial sector is far and away the biggest source of campaign contributions to federal candidates and parties, with insurance companies, securities and investment firms, real estate interests and commercial banks providing the bulk of that money. ”

The CRP goes on to note that several industries within the sector supported bankruptcy reform legislation, privatization of social security and data security regulation, which would have limited the liability of banks in the event of on-line security breaches.

However, as we have witnessed in recent months, the acts of omission in Washington contributed to the variety of factors that brought about the collapse of the global economy thereby showing us the flip side of this return, namely, political risk.

Political Risk Factors Exceed the Investment Returns

Unless you have been living in a remote cave these last few months, it would be next to impossible to ignore the fact that the financial services sector bears the brunt of the global economic crisis.

The risk equation in this situation is not just the risk associated with the political giving act but the outcomes achieved by both lobbying and political giving. Regulators failed to regulate, legislators failed to legislate and as the world changed nothing happened in Washington to ensure that what could and did happen in the industry to the detriment of the world was not prevented.

Thus, in looking at the political risk equation, it is apparent that, along with other risk factors that these companies ignored, political risk was completely overlooked as the returns achieved from the political spending flowed.

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AIG’s Investment in Washington

by John Richardson on October 22, 2008

aiglogo AIGs Investment in Washington

As I noted in a post yesterday at Global Investment Watch, ”Preemption, Deregulation, Foreclosure, Oh My“ an underlying factor in the current economic collapse is the regulatory neglect in Washington. While conservatives use the term “deregulation,” it is in fact neglect by elected officials and government officials responsible for watching out for all Americans. The question that I am pondering is, “Why?” We all have our beliefs and suspicions about what caused this mess but let’s take a look at some of the facts here, particularly those related to money and influence in Washington DC.

AIG’s Rap Sheet and How it Made “Bail”

AIG is the world’s biggest insurer. It was also a huge Credit Default Swap insurer/underwriter. The terms of CDS require collateral to be posted, depending upon such factors as credit rating and credit spreads. As home prices fell, spreads widened, and companies went down, AIG’s collateral requirements went up significantly.

The Federal Reserve Board authorized the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to lend up to $85 billion to the American International Group (AIG) under section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act. The secured loan has terms and conditions designed to protect the interests of the U.S. government and taxpayers.

The Board determined that a disorderly failure of AIG could add to already significant levels of financial market fragility and lead to substantially higher borrowing costs, reduced household wealth, and materially weaker economic performance. [1. http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/09/aig-bailout-85b.html]

In 2007, AIG paid $126 million in fines to the SEC and Justice Dept. for deals it structured for outside clients that allegedly violated insurance accounting rules. The company also came under the glare of then New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer for its role in bid-rigging with broker Marsh & McLennan, which led to the ouster of Hank’s son Jeffrey as CEO.

Earlier this year, investigators initially focused on two transactions involving Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK ) General Re Corp. unit. The deals essentially amounted to a $500 million loan that was dressed up on the books as premium revenue. That allowed AIG to boost its sagging reserves at a time when investors thought they were too low. However AIG never assumed any of the risk associated with insurance underwriting. On Mar. 30, the company acknowledged that “the transaction documentation was improper” and should never have been classified as insurance premiums.

But problems continued with the company, According to BusinessWeek, in March of this year, the company itself identified several problems. These included transactions with supposedly independent companies that were in fact controlled by AIG; bond transactions that may have allowed it to claim gains without actually selling the bonds; misclassified losses; and questionable estimates on deferred acquisition costs. Investigators and state regulators are looking into some 60 transactions involving these and other possible accounting shenanigans. “Greenberg strived for a steadily rising stock price,” says a source in Spitzer’s office. “He used mechanisms now being revealed as deceptive and improper.”

Getting It’s Way in Washington

If you or I were to pull some of the financial stunts that AIG has done in the last few years, we would be doing time. Sometime in the distant future, we would face a parole board begging for mercy. Not AIG. From the casual observer, it would seem that AIG managed to get the parole board to let it walk and give it a huge wad of pocket change to solve its problems.

As I noted in a post this week, regulators in Washington sat on the sidelines while  AIG and others merrily maximized short term profits without any serious efforts were made to control this obviously risky behavior.

Why?

One factor may be the influence peddling that AIG undertook with its lobbying efforts in the nation’s capital.

According to OpenSecrets.org, since 1998 the company spent a total of $145,874,600 in lobbying fees to in-house staff and consultants in Washington. In addition, the company spent an additional $9,153,251 in contributions to sitting legislators. Considering the investment in Washington, this bailout represents a whopping 54000% return on investment (ROI).

And who pays for all of this?

We do.

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Washington’s Magic Christians

by John Richardson on October 17, 2008

magic christian Washingtons Magic Christians

The Magic Christian was a 1969 movie starring Peter Sellers and Ringo Starr. Sir Guy Grand (played by Sellers) adopts a homeless bum named Youngman (played by Starr) to be heir to his obscene wealth, and introduces him into the intricacies of the family business, which is to prey upon people’s greed by use of his vast wealth. One of the more notable scenes involved corporate executives diving into a large vat of sewage mixed with 100-dollar bills; this was Guy Grand’s proof that white-collar types would do anything for money.

Forty years later, Ken Silverstein shows that time has not changed this fundamental human flaw. Turkmeniscam: How Washington Lobbyists Fought to Flack for a Stalinist Dictatorship, is his recently released book in which he explores this “only in Washington” phenomenon, proving that art does in fact imitate life but rather badly.  The movie was a cynical but funny bit of fiction. Silverstein’s account is a real-life tragedy where ethically challenged Washington insiders profit from tyrants, murders, kleptocrats and scoundrels of other varieties. [click to continue...]

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Washington Slept with Wall Street: Was it Consensual?

by John Richardson on September 23, 2008

fig31 Washington Slept with Wall Street: Was it Consensual?

As the Bush Administration and Congress open up the money spigots to bail out Wall Street, we are beginning to see a tsunami of taxpayer dollars being spent to bail out the financial services industry. While we will be arguing the pros and cons of this bailout of the industry, an equally pressing question is, how did we get here in the first place?

We have heard about the greed of the mortgage bankers lending to anything with a heart beat, selling off mortgages to the complacent Fannies and Freddies. In turn, the creative derivatives brokers crafted exotic financial instruments in pretty packages for willing traders who brought the trash because it was packaged so nicely.

How did this happen and why was nobody paying attention?

[click to continue...]

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